NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
loading...

E-cigarettes and Adult Smoking

Henry Saffer, Daniel Dench, Dhaval Dave, Michael Grossman

NBER Working Paper No. 24212
Issued in January 2018, Revised in April 2018
NBER Program(s):Health Economics

Over the past few years, adult use of e-cigs has been increasing while adult smoking has been declining. Although there is a negative time correlation, it is important to determine if there is a causal effect of e-cig use on smoking. This is important because of the known health hazards associated with smoking. A key concern with most prior studies of e-cigs and smoking is that causality between e-cig use and cigarette use is ignored. One contribution of this paper is to estimate structural and reduced form equations that replace e-cig use with e-cig price in order to avoid this endogeneity problem. The data employed to estimate the empirical models come from the Tobacco Use Supplements (TUS). These data are from the combined July 2014, January 2015 and May 2015 waves of the TUS. The results show that e-cig use increases the probability of a quit attempt, the probability of a quit failure, the number of quit failures and the probability of a quit success. It is also estimated that a 10% federal excise tax on e-cigs would reduce the number of quitters in the US by more than 250,000 per year.

download in pdf format
   (226 K)

email paper

The NBER Bulletin on Aging and Health provides summaries of publications like this.  You can sign up to receive the NBER Bulletin on Aging and Health by email.

Machine-readable bibliographic record - MARC, RIS, BibTeX

Document Object Identifier (DOI): 10.3386/w24212

Users who downloaded this paper also downloaded* these:
Jones, Molitor, and Reif w24229 What Do Workplace Wellness Programs Do? Evidence from the Illinois Workplace Wellness Study
Bosworth, Bieler, Kleinrock, Koepcke, and Berndt w24210 An Evaluation of the CPI Indexes for Prescription Drugs
Dave, Dench, Grossman, Kenkel, and Saffer w24277 Does E-Cigarette Advertising Encourage Adult Smokers to Quit?
Galama, Lleras-Muney, and van Kippersluis w24225 The Effect of Education on Health and Mortality: A Review of Experimental and Quasi-Experimental Evidence.
Kleven, Landais, and Egholt Søgaard w24219 Children and Gender Inequality: Evidence from Denmark
 
Publications
Activities
Meetings
NBER Videos
Themes
Data
People
About

National Bureau of Economic Research, 1050 Massachusetts Ave., Cambridge, MA 02138; 617-868-3900; email: info@nber.org

Contact Us