TY - JOUR AU - Cumby,Robert E. TI - Consumption Risk and International Asset Returns: Some Empirical Evidence JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 2383 PY - 1987 Y2 - September 1987 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w2383 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w2383.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Robert E. Cumby Georgetown University School of Foreign Service Washington, DC 20057-1045 Tel: 202/687-2990 Fax: 202/687-6102 E-Mail: cumbyr@georgetown.edu AB - The paper examines if real stock returns in four countries are consistent with consumption-based models of international asset pricing. The paper finds that ex-ante real stock returns exhibit statistically significant fluctuations over time and that these fluctuations cannot be explained by consumption-based models when the conditional covariances between real stock returns and the rate of change of consumption are assumed to be constant over time. These conditional covariances are then modeled and the paper finds that they too exhibit statistically significant fluctuations over time. However, even when conditional covariances are allowed to change over time, the paper finds that the consumption-based models do not fully explain real stock returns. ER -