NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH

Credit Market Freezes

Efraim Benmelech, Nittai K. Bergman

NBER Working Paper No. 23512
Issued in June 2017
NBER Program(s):   AP   CF   EFG   ME

Credit market freezes in which debt issuance declines dramatically and market liquidity evaporates are typically observed during financial crises. In the financial crisis of 2008-09, the structured credit market froze, issuance of corporate bonds declined, and secondary credit markets became highly illiquid. In this paper we analyze liquidity in bond markets during financial crises and compare two main theories of liquidity in markets: (1) asymmetric information and adverse selection, and (2) heterogenous beliefs. Analyzing the 1873 financial crisis as well as the 2008-09 crisis, we find that when bond value deteriorates, bond illiquidity increases, consistent with an adverse selection model of the information sensitivity of debt contracts. While we show that the adverse-selection model of debt liquidity explains a large portion of the rise in illiquidity, we find little support for the hypothesis that opinion dispersion explains illiquidity in financial crises.

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Document Object Identifier (DOI): 10.3386/w23512

Forthcoming: Credit Market Freezes, Efraim Benmelech, Nittai K. Bergman. in NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2017, volume 32, Eichenbaum and Parker. 2017

 
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