China's Gradualistic Economic Approach and Financial Markets

Markus K. Brunnermeier, Michael Sockin, Wei Xiong

NBER Working Paper No. 23194
Issued in February 2017
NBER Program(s):Asset Pricing, Corporate Finance, Economic Fluctuations and Growth, Monetary Economics, Political Economy

China’s gradualistic approach allowed the government to learn how the economy reacts to small policy changes, and to adjust its reforms before implementing them in full. With fully developed financial markets, however, private actors’ may front-run future policy changes making it impossible for the implement policies gradually. With financial markets the government faces a time-inconsistency problem. The government would like to commit to a gradualistic approach, but after it observes the economy’s quick reaction, it has no incentive to implement its policies in small steps.

Acknowledgments and Disclosures

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Document Object Identifier (DOI): 10.3386/w23194

Published: Markus K. Brunnermeier & Michael Sockin & Wei Xiong, 2017. "China's Gradualistic Economic Approach and Financial Markets," American Economic Review, vol 107(5), pages 608-613. citation courtesy of

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