TY - JOUR AU - Alesina,Alberto AU - Tabellini,Guido TI - A Positive Theory of Fiscal Deficits and Government Debt in a Democracy JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 2308 PY - 1987 Y2 - July 1987 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w2308 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w2308.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Alberto F. Alesina Department of Economics Harvard University Littauer Center 210 Cambridge, MA 02138 Tel: 617/495-8388 Fax: 617/495-7730 E-Mail: aalesina@harvard.edu Guido Tabellini IGIER Universita' Bocconi Via Roentgen 1 20136 Milano Italy Tel: 39 2 583 6 3305; fax 3302 E-Mail: guido.tabellini@unibocconi.it AB - This paper considers an economy in which policymakers with different preferences concerning fiscal policy alternate in office as a result of democratic elections. It is shown that in this situation government debt becomes a strategic variable used by each policymaker to influence the choices of his successors. In particular, if different policymakers disagree about the desired composition of government spending between two public goods, the economy exhibits a deficits bias. Namely, in this economy debt accumulation is higher than it would be with a social planner. According to the results of our model, the equilibrium level of government debt is larger: the larger is the degree of polarization between alternating governments; and the more likely it is that the current government will not be reelected. The paper has empirical implications which may contribute to explain the current fiscal policies in the United States and in several other countries. ER -