Uncertainty and Liquidity
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NBER Working Paper No. 2296 (Also Reprint No. r1322)
Issued in November 1989
NBER Program(s): ME
This paper studies a model where money is valued for the liquidity services it provides in the future. These liquidity services cannot be provided by any other asset. Changes in expectations of the value of future liquidity services affect the desired proportions of money and other assets in agents' portfolios, and, as a result, they change nominal interest rates and real stock prices. The paper concentrates on the effects of stochastic fluctuations in the distribution of exogenous shocks. I find that changes in dividend risk have effects opposite to those in standard dynamic portfolio models without money. Furthermore, shifts between money and other assets that are driven by precautionary liquidity demand make nominal interest rates capture information about the uncertainty in the economy more accurately than any other prices in the asset markets.
Published: Journal of Monetary Economics, Vol. 23, pp. 239-258, (1989).
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