NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
loading...

Voter Preferences and Political Change: Evidence from Shale Booms

Viktar Fedaseyeu, Erik Gilje, Philip E. Strahan

NBER Working Paper No. 21789
Issued in December 2015
NBER Program(s):Political Economy

Local interests change sharply after the energy booms that began in 2003, when hydraulic fracturing spurred extraction of formerly uneconomic oil and gas reserves. Support for conservative interests rises and Republican political candidates gain votes after booms, leading to a near doubling in the probability of a change in incumbency. All of this change occurs at the expense of Democrats. Voting records of U.S. House members from boom districts become sharply more conservative across a wide range of issues, including issues unrelated to energy policy. At the level of the individual, marginal candidates skew their voting behavior somewhat toward more conservative causes, but generally not enough to maintain power. Thus, even when the stakes are high and politicians risk losing power, ideology trumps ambition.

download in pdf format
   (347 K)

email paper

Machine-readable bibliographic record - MARC, RIS, BibTeX

Document Object Identifier (DOI): 10.3386/w21789

Users who downloaded this paper also downloaded* these:
Glaeser, Ponzetto, and Zou w21794 Urban Networks: Connecting Markets, People, and Ideas
Alesina and Passalacqua w21821 The Political Economy of Government Debt
Hall and Sargent w21799 A History of U.S. Debt Limits
Lowes, Nunn, Robinson, and Weigel w21798 The Evolution of Culture and Institutions: Evidence from the Kuba Kingdom
Dippel, Gold, and Heblich w21812 Globalization and Its (Dis-)Content: Trade Shocks and Voting Behavior
 
Publications
Activities
Meetings
NBER Videos
Themes
Data
People
About

National Bureau of Economic Research, 1050 Massachusetts Ave., Cambridge, MA 02138; 617-868-3900; email: info@nber.org

Contact Us