TY  - JOUR
AU  - Card,David
AU  - Sullivan,Daniel
TI  - Measuring the Effect of Subsidized Training Programs on Movements In andOut of Employment
JF  - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series
VL  - No. 2173
PY  - 1987
Y2  - February 1987
UR  - http://www.nber.org/papers/w2173
L1  - http://www.nber.org/papers/w2173.pdf
N1  - Author contact info:
David Card
Department of Economics
549 Evans Hall, #3880
University of California, Berkeley
Berkeley, CA  94720-3880
Tel: 510/642-5222
Fax: 510/643-7042
E-Mail: card@econ.berkeley.edu

Daniel Sullivan
Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago
230 South LaSalle Street
Chicago, Illinois 60604-1413
Tel: 312-322-5790
E-Mail: daniel.sullivan@chi.frb.org
M2  - featured in NBER digest on 1987-04-01
AB  - We present a variety of alternative estimates of the effect of training on the probability of employment for adult male participants in the 1976 Comprehensive Employment and Training Act (CETA) program. Our results suggest that CETA participation increased the probability of employment in the three years after training by from 2 to 5 percentage points. Classroom training programs appear to have had significantly larger effects than on-the--job programs, although the estimated effects of both kinds of programs are consistently positive. We also find that movements in and out of employment for the trainees and a control group of nonparticipants are reasonably well described by a first-order Markov process, conditional on individual heterogeneity. In the context of this model, CETA participation appears to have increased both the probability of moving into employment, and the probability of continuing employment.
ER  -