NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH

Sample-selection biases and the "industrialization puzzle"

Howard Bodenhorn, Timothy W. Guinnane, Thomas A. Mroz

NBER Working Paper No. 21249
Issued in June 2015
NBER Program(s):Development of the American Economy

Understanding long-term changes in human well-being is central to understanding the consequences of economic development. An extensive anthropometric literature purports to show that heights in the United States declined between the 1830s and the 1890s, which is when the US economy industrialized and urbanized. Most research argues that declining heights reflects the impact of the industrialization process. This interpretation, however, relies on sources subject to selection bias. Changes in that selection mechanism may account for the declining heights. We show that the evidentiary basis of the puzzle is not as robust as previously believed. Our meta-analysis of more than 150 studies shows that declining-heights finding emerges primarily in selected samples. Finally, we offer a parsimonious diagnostic test for revealing (but not necessarily correcting for) selection bias. The diagnostic applied to four samples that underlay the industrialization puzzle shows compelling evidence of selection.

download in pdf format
   (589 K)

email paper

Machine-readable bibliographic record - MARC, RIS, BibTeX

Document Object Identifier (DOI): 10.3386/w21249

Published: Bodenhorn, Howard & Guinnane, Timothy W. & Mroz, Thomas A., 2017. "Sample-Selection Biases and the Industrialization Puzzle," The Journal of Economic History, Cambridge University Press, vol. 77(01), pages 171-207, March. citation courtesy of

Users who downloaded this paper also downloaded* these:
Komlos and A'Hearn w21845 The Decline in the Nutritional Status of the U.S. Antebellum Population at the Onset of Modern Economic Growth
Stephens and Unayama w21248 Estimating the Impacts of Program Benefits: Using Instrumental Variables with Underreported and Imputed Data
Aghion, Akcigit, Bergeaud, Blundell, and Hemous w21247 Innovation and Top Income Inequality
Bodenhorn, Guinnane, and Mroz w19955 Caveat Lector: Sample Selection in Historical Heights and the Interpretation of Early Industrializing Economies
Gallup, Sachs, and Mellinger w6849 Geography and Economic Development
 
Publications
Activities
Meetings
NBER Videos
Themes
Data
People
About

National Bureau of Economic Research, 1050 Massachusetts Ave., Cambridge, MA 02138; 617-868-3900; email: info@nber.org

Contact Us