NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH

The Empiricists' Insurgency

Eli Berman, Aila M. Matanock

NBER Working Paper No. 21061
Issued in April 2015
NBER Program(s):   DEV   PE

Research on insurgency has been invigorated this past decade by better data, improved methods, and the urgency of understanding active engagements in Iraq and Afghanistan. This empiricists’ insurgency reinforces a classic literature on the essential role of civilians while challenging older theories about how they affect conflict outcomes. It provides a general framework describing “irregular” insurgencies (where government capacity exceeds rebel capacity), which is analytically cohesive and empirically tested using subnational data from multiple conflicts. The new research provides guidance on intervention design, including governance improvement, development programs, and rules of engagement. The design of interventions matters: some key evidence comes from measuring the effects of misguided policies. The framework may enable better conceived and implemented interventions, including foreign engagements with and without troop deployment, depending on the type of insurgency and mindful of political limitations. We position these findings in the literature, and highlight directions for future research, including legal aspects of countering insurgency.

You may purchase this paper on-line in .pdf format from SSRN.com ($5) for electronic delivery.

Access to NBER Papers

You are eligible for a free download if you are a subscriber, a corporate associate of the NBER, a journalist, an employee of the U.S. federal government with a ".GOV" domain name, or a resident of nearly any developing country or transition economy.

If you usually get free papers at work/university but do not at home, you can either connect to your work VPN or proxy (if any) or elect to have a link to the paper emailed to your work email address below. The email address must be connected to a subscribing college, university, or other subscribing institution. Gmail and other free email addresses will not have access.

E-mail:

Machine-readable bibliographic record - MARC, RIS, BibTeX

Document Object Identifier (DOI): 10.3386/w21061

Published: Eli Berman & Aila M. Matanock, 2015. "The Empiricists' Insurgency," Annual Review of Political Science, vol 18(1), pages 443-464.

Users who downloaded this paper also downloaded* these:
Aizer, Currie, Simon, and Vivier w22558 Do Low Levels of Blood Lead Reduce Children's Future Test Scores?
Gelber, Isen, and Kessler w20810 The Effects of Youth Employment: Evidence from New York City Summer Youth Employment Program Lotteries
Berman, Felter, Shapiro, and Troland w18674 Modest, Secure and Informed: Successful Development in Conflict Zones
Jayachandran and Pande w21036 Why Are Indian Children So Short?
McCaig, McMillan, Verduzco-Gallo, and Jefferis w21029 Stuck in the Middle? Structural Change and Productivity Growth in Botswana
 
Publications
Activities
Meetings
NBER Videos
Themes
Data
People
About

National Bureau of Economic Research, 1050 Massachusetts Ave., Cambridge, MA 02138; 617-868-3900; email: info@nber.org

Contact Us