Risk and Ambiguity in Models of Business Cycles
We inject aggregate uncertainty - risk and ambiguity - into an otherwise standard business cycle model and describe its consequences. We find that increases in uncertainty generally reduce consumption, but they do not account, in this model, for either the magnitude or the persistence of the most recent recession. We speculate about extensions that might do better along one or both dimensions.
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Copy CitationDavid Backus, Axelle Ferriere, and Stanley Zin, "Risk and Ambiguity in Models of Business Cycles," NBER Working Paper 20319 (2014), https://doi.org/10.3386/w20319.Download Citation
Published Versions
Backus, David & Ferriere, Axelle & Zin, Stanley, 2015. "Risk and ambiguity in models of business cycles," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 42-63. citation courtesy of 
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