Beyond Zeroes and Ones: The Intensity and Dynamics of Civil Conflict
There is tremendous variation in conflict intensity both across and within civil conflict spells. Using an instrumental variables approach and a rich set of dynamic, empirical models, we find that the intensity of conflict is negatively related to per-capita income. Economic conditions also affect conflict dynamics, as higher per-capita income reduces the persistence of past conflict intensity.
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Document Object Identifier (DOI): 10.3386/w20258