TY  - JOUR
AU  - Lynch,Lisa M.
TI  - The Youth Labor Market in the 80s:  Determinants of Re-Employment Probabilities for Young Men and Women
JF  - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series
VL  - No. 2021
PY  - 1986
Y2  - September 1986
UR  - http://www.nber.org/papers/w2021
L1  - http://www.nber.org/papers/w2021.pdf
N1  - Author contact info:
Lisa M. Lynch
The Heller School for Social Policy and Management
Brandeis University
415 South Street, MS 035
Waltham, MA 02454
Tel: 781-736-3883
Fax: 781-736-3852
E-Mail: lisalynch@brandeis.edu
AB  - This paper presents an analysis of the determinants of re-employment probabilities for young workers in the U.S. Using data from the new National Longitudinal Survey youth cohort a model is developed to analyze the transition probabilities from nonemployment to employment. The key factors examined include personal characteristics, unemployment income, local demand conditions, and duration dependence. There are significant differences between the labor market experiences of whites and nonwhites, and males and females. High school dropouts have many more difficulties in the labor market than those who remain in school longer and/or receive other types of training. Local demand conditions are a strong determinant of the duration of spells of nonemployment and there appears to be strong evidence of negative duration dependence in re-employment probabilities for both young males and young females.
ER  -