TY - JOUR AU - McGrattan,Ellen R. AU - Prescott,Edward C. TI - On Financing Retirement with an Aging Population JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 18760 PY - 2013 Y2 - February 2013 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w18760 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w18760.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Ellen McGrattan Research Department Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis 90 Hennepin Avenue Minneapolis, MN 55480 Tel: 612/204-5523 Fax: 612/204-5515 E-Mail: erm@mcgrattan.mpls.frb.fed.us Edward C. Prescott Arizona State University Economics Department P. O. Box 879801 Tempe, AZ 85287-9801 E-Mail: edward.prescott@asu.edu AB - A problem facing the United States is financing retirement consumption as its population ages. Policy analysts increasingly advocate savings-for-retirement systems, but are concerned with insufficient savings opportunities with limited government debt. This concern is unwarranted. First, there is more productive capital than commonly assumed in macroeconomic modeling. Second, if the policy reform subsumes the elimination of capital income taxes, then the value of business equity increases relative to the capital stock. Phasing in a switch from the current U.S. system to a savings-for-retirement system without capital income taxes increases welfare of all current and future cohorts. ER -