TY - JOUR AU - Christiano,Lawrence AU - Motto,Roberto AU - Rostagno,Massimo TI - Risk Shocks JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 18682 PY - 2013 Y2 - January 2013 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w18682 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w18682.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Lawrence Christiano Department of Economics Northwestern University 2001 Sheridan Road Evanston, IL 60208 Tel: 847/491-8231 Fax: 847/491-7001 E-Mail: l-christiano@northwestern.edu Roberto Motto European Central Bank Postfach 16 03 19 D-60066 Frankfurt am Main GERMANY E-Mail: roberto.motto@ecb.int Massimo Rostagno European Central Bank Postfach 16-03-19 D-60066 Frankfurt am Main GERMANY E-Mail: Massimo.Rostagno@ecb.int AB - We augment a standard monetary DSGE model to include a Bernanke-Gertler-Gilchrist financial accelerator mechanism. We fit the model to US data, allowing the volatility of cross-sectional idiosyncratic uncertainty to fluctuate over time. We refer to this measure of volatility as 'risk'. We find that fluctuations in risk are the most important shock driving the business cycle. ER -