TY - JOUR AU - Smith,Jeffrey S. AU - West,James E. TI - Retirement Pay and Officer Retention JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 18502 PY - 2012 Y2 - November 2012 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w18502 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w18502.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Jeffrey Smith Virginia Military Institute E-Mail: smithjs@vmi.edu James West Baylor University Department of Economics One Bear Place # 98003 Waco, TX 76798-8003 Tel: 254-710-6126 Fax: 254-710-6142 E-Mail: j_west@baylor.edu M3 - presented at "State and Local Pensions Conference", August 17-18, 2012 AB - We use data from a natural experiment in which retirement benefits were reduced by congressional legislation and later restored to estimate the effect of future retirement benefit eligibility upon the decision of whether to remain in the U.S. military. We find that the generosity of retirement benefits is significantly correlated with the decision to remain in service until members qualify for benefits. The estimated effect of a 20 percent reduction in the generosity of retirement benefits upon the probability of remaining on active duty is equivalent to the effect of a 0.27 percentage point reduction in the unemployment rate, or approximately a 2 percent increase in the GDP growth rate. ER -