How Do Regulators Influence Mortgage Risk: Evidence from an Emerging Market

John Y. Campbell, Tarun Ramadorai, Benjamin Ranish

NBER Working Paper No. 18394
Issued in September 2012
NBER Program(s):   AP   CF

To understand the effects of regulation on mortgage risk, it is instructive to track the history of regulatory changes in a country rather than to rely entirely on cross-country evidence that can be contaminated by unobserved heterogeneity. However, in developed countries with fairly stable systems of financial regulation, it is difficult to track these effects. We employ loan-level data on over a million loans disbursed in India over the 1995 to 2010 period to understand how fast-changing regulation impacted mortgage lending and risk. We find evidence that regulation has important effects on mortgage rates and delinquencies in both the time-series and the cross-section.

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Acknowledgments and Disclosures

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