02379cam a22002537 4500001000700000003000500007005001700012008004100029100002200070245006600092260006600158490004200224500001500266520126000281530006101541538007201602538003601674690016601710690005501876710004201931830007701973856003802050856003702088w18252NBER20160506195123.0160506s2012 mau||||fs|||| 000 0 eng d1 aNorton, Edward C.10aLog Odds and Endsh[electronic resource] /cEdward C. Norton. aCambridge, Mass.bNational Bureau of Economic Researchc2012.1 aNBER working paper seriesvno. w18252 aJuly 2012.3 aAlthough independent unobserved heterogeneity--variables that affect the dependent variable but are independent from the other explanatory variables of interest--do not affect the point estimates or marginal effects in least squares regression, they do affect point estimates in nonlinear models such as logit and probit models. In these nonlinear models, independent unobserved heterogeneity changes the arbitrary normalization of the coefficients through the error variance. Therefore, any statistics derived from the estimated coefficients change when additional, seemingly irrelevant, variables are added to the model. Odds ratios must be interpreted as conditional on the data and model. There is no one odds ratio; each odds ratio estimated in a multivariate model is conditional on the data and model in a way that makes comparisons with other results difficult or impossible. This paper provides new Monte Carlo and graphical insights into why this is true, and new understanding of how to interpret fixed effects models, including case control studies. Marginal effects are largely unaffected by unobserved heterogeneity in both linear regression and nonlinear models, including logit and probit and their multinomial and ordered extensions. aHardcopy version available to institutional subscribers. aSystem requirements: Adobe [Acrobat] Reader required for PDF files. aMode of access: World Wide Web. 7aC25 - Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models • Discrete Regressors • Proportions • Probabilities2Journal of Economic Literature class. 7aI19 - Other2Journal of Economic Literature class.2 aNational Bureau of Economic Research. 0aWorking Paper Series (National Bureau of Economic Research)vno. w18252.4 uhttp://www.nber.org/papers/w1825241uhttp://dx.doi.org/10.3386/w18252