TY - JOUR AU - House,Christopher L. AU - Zhang,Jing TI - Layoffs, Lemons and Temps JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 17962 PY - 2012 Y2 - March 2012 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w17962 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w17962.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Christopher House University of Michigan Department of Economics 238 Lorch Hall Ann Arbor, MI 48109-1220 Tel: 734/764-2364 Fax: 734/764-2769 E-Mail: chouse@umich.edu Jing Zhang University of Michigan Department of Economics 611 Tappan Street Ann Arbor, MI 48109-1220 E-Mail: jzhang@umich.edu AB - We develop a dynamic equilibrium model of labor demand with adverse selection. Firms learn the quality of newly hired workers after a period of employment. Adverse selection makes it costly to hire new workers and to release productive workers. As a result, firms hoard labor and under-react to labor demand shocks. The adverse selection problem also creates a market for temporary workers. In equilibrium, firms hire a buffer stock of permanent workers and respond to changing business conditions by varying their temp workers. A hiring subsidy or tax can improve welfare by discouraging firms from hoarding too many productive workers. ER -