TY - JOUR AU - Buera,Francisco J. AU - Kaboski,Joseph P. AU - Shin,Yongseok TI - The Macroeconomics of Microfinance JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 17905 PY - 2012 Y2 - March 2012 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w17905 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w17905.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Francisco J. Buera Department of Economics University of California, Los Angeles 8283 Bunche Hall Office 8357 Mail Stop: 147703 Los Angeles, CA 90095 Tel: 310/825-8018 Fax: 310/825-9528 E-Mail: fjbuera@econ.ucla.edu Joseph P. Kaboski Department of Economics University of Notre Dame 434 Flanner Hall Notre Dame, IN 46556 Tel: 574/631-9906 E-Mail: jkaboski@nd.edu Yongseok Shin Department of Economics Washington University in St. Louis One Brookings Drive St. Louis, MO 63130 Tel: 314/935-7138 Fax: 314/935-4156 E-Mail: yshin@wustl.edu AB - We provide a quantitative evaluation of the aggregate and distributional impact of microfinance or credit programs targeted toward small businesses. We find that the redistributive impact of microfinance is stronger in general equilibrium than in partial equilibrium, but the impact on aggregate output and capital is smaller in general equilibrium. Aggregate total factor productivity (TFP) increases with microfinance in general equilibrium but decreases in partial equilibrium. When general equilibrium effects are accounted for, scaling up the microfinance program will have only a small impact on per-capita income, because the increase in TFP is counterbalanced by lower capital accumulation resulting from the redistribution of income from high-savers to low-savers. Nevertheless, the vast majority of the population will be positively affected by microfinance through the increase in equilibrium wages. ER -