TY - JOUR AU - Aiyar,Shekhar AU - Calomiris,Charles W. AU - Wieladek,Tomasz TI - Does Macro-Pru Leak? Evidence from a UK Policy Experiment JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 17822 PY - 2012 Y2 - February 2012 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w17822 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w17822.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Shekhar Aiyar International Monetary Fund 700 19th Street, N.W. Washington DC 20431 E-Mail: SAiyar@imf.org Charles W. Calomiris Graduate School of Business Columbia University 3022 Broadway Street, Uris Hall New York, NY 10027 Tel: 212/854-8748 Fax: 212/316-9219 E-Mail: cc374@columbia.edu Tomasz Wieladek External MPC Unit Bank of England Threadneedle Street EC2R 8AH England E-Mail: tomasz.wieladek@bankofengland.co.uk M2 - featured in NBER digest on 2012-08-01 AB - The regulation of bank capital as a means of smoothing the credit cycle is a central element of forthcoming macro-prudential regimes internationally. For such regulation to be effective in controlling the aggregate supply of credit it must be the case that: (i) changes in capital requirements affect loan supply by regulated banks, and (ii) unregulated substitute sources of credit are unable to offset changes in credit supply by affected banks. This paper examines micro evidence—lacking to date—on both questions, using a unique dataset. In the UK, regulators have imposed time-varying, bank-specific minimum capital requirements since Basel I. It is found that regulated banks (UK-owned banks and resident foreign subsidiaries) reduce lending in response to tighter capital requirements. But unregulated banks (resident foreign branches) increase lending in response to tighter capital requirements on a relevant reference group of regulated banks. This “leakage” is substantial, amounting to about one-third of the initial impulse from the regulatory change. ER -