TY - JOUR AU - Arimura,Toshi H. AU - Li,Shanjun AU - Newell,Richard G. AU - Palmer,Karen TI - Cost-Effectiveness of Electricity Energy Efficiency Programs JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 17556 PY - 2011 Y2 - October 2011 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w17556 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w17556.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Toshi H. Arimura Sophia University E-Mail: arimura@waseda.jp Shanjun Li Cornell University 424 Warren Hall Ithaca, NY 14853 E-Mail: sl2448@cornell.edu Richard G. Newell Nicholas School of the Environment Duke University Box 90227 Durham, NC 27708 Tel: 919/681-8663 Fax: 919/684-5833 E-Mail: richard.newell@duke.edu Karen Palmer Resources for the Future 1616 P Street, NW Washington, DC 20036 E-Mail: palmer@rff.org AB - We analyze the cost-effectiveness of electric utility ratepayer–funded programs to promote demand-side management (DSM) and energy efficiency (EE) investments. We specify a model that relates electricity demand to previous EE DSM spending, energy prices, income, weather, and other demand factors. In contrast to previous studies, we allow EE DSM spending to have a potential long-term demand effect and explicitly address possible endogeneity in spending. We find that current period EE DSM expenditures reduce electricity demand and that this effect persists for a number of years. Our findings suggest that ratepayer funded DSM expenditures between 1992 and 2006 produced a central estimate of 0.9 percent savings in electricity consumption over that time period and a 1.8 percent savings over all years. These energy savings came at an expected average cost to utilities of roughly 5 cents per kWh saved when future savings are discounted at a 5 percent rate. ER -