@techreport{NBERw17556, title = "Cost-Effectiveness of Electricity Energy Efficiency Programs", author = "Toshi H. Arimura and Shanjun Li and Richard G. Newell and Karen Palmer", institution = "National Bureau of Economic Research", type = "Working Paper", series = "Working Paper Series", number = "17556", year = "2011", month = "October", URL = "http://www.nber.org/papers/w17556", abstract = {We analyze the cost-effectiveness of electric utility ratepayer–funded programs to promote demand-side management (DSM) and energy efficiency (EE) investments. We specify a model that relates electricity demand to previous EE DSM spending, energy prices, income, weather, and other demand factors. In contrast to previous studies, we allow EE DSM spending to have a potential long-term demand effect and explicitly address possible endogeneity in spending. We find that current period EE DSM expenditures reduce electricity demand and that this effect persists for a number of years. Our findings suggest that ratepayer funded DSM expenditures between 1992 and 2006 produced a central estimate of 0.9 percent savings in electricity consumption over that time period and a 1.8 percent savings over all years. These energy savings came at an expected average cost to utilities of roughly 5 cents per kWh saved when future savings are discounted at a 5 percent rate.}, }