Does Short-Term Debt Increase Vulnerability to Crisis? Evidence from the East Asian Financial Crisis
Does short-term debt increase vulnerability to financial crisis, or does short-term debt reflect -- rather than cause -- the incipient crisis? We study the role that short-term debt played in the collapse of the East Asian financial sector in 1997-1998. We alleviate concerns about the endogeneity of short-term debt by using long-term debt obligations that matured during the crisis. We find that debt obligations issued at least three years before the crisis had a negative, albeit sometimes insignificant, effect on the probability of failure. Our results are consistent with the view that short-term debt reflects, rather than causes, distress in financial institutions.
-
-
Copy CitationEfraim Benmelech and Eyal Dvir, "Does Short-Term Debt Increase Vulnerability to Crisis? Evidence from the East Asian Financial Crisis," NBER Working Paper 17468 (2011), https://doi.org/10.3386/w17468.Download Citation
Published Versions
Eyal Dvir & Efraim Benmelech, 2010. "Does short-term debt increase vulnerability to crisis? Evidence from the East Asian financial crisis," Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, issue Oct. citation courtesy of 
Benmelech, Efraim & Dvir, Eyal, 2013. "Does Short-Term Debt Increase Vulnerability to Crisis? Evidence from the East Asian Financial Crisis," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(2), pages 485-494. citation courtesy of
Related
Topics
Programs
Working Groups
More from the NBER
In addition to working papers, the NBER disseminates affiliates’ latest findings through a range of free periodicals—the NBER Reporter, the NBER Digest, the Bulletin on Health, the Bulletin on the Economics of Alzheimer's, and the Bulletin on Entrepreneurship—as well as research spotlights, lectures, and panel videos.
