TY - JOUR AU - Murtin,Fabrice AU - Wacziarg,Romain TI - The Democratic Transition JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 17432 PY - 2011 Y2 - September 2011 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w17432 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w17432.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Fabrice Murtin Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development 2 rue Andre Pascal 75016 Paris, France E-Mail: fabrice.murtin@oecd.org Romain Wacziarg Anderson School of Management at UCLA C-510 Entrepreneurs Hall 110 Westwood Plaza Los Angeles, CA 90095-1481 Tel: 310 825 4507 E-Mail: wacziarg@ucla.edu AB - Over the last two centuries, many countries experienced regime transitions toward democracy. We document this democratic transition over a long time horizon. We use historical time series of income, education and democracy levels from 1870 to 2000 to explore the economic factors associated with rising levels of democracy. We find that primary schooling, and to a weaker extent per capita income levels, are strong determinants of the quality of political institutions. We find little evidence of causality running the other way, from democracy to income or education. ER -