@techreport{NBERw1724, title = "The Welfare Analysis of Product Innovations with an Application to CT Scanners", author = "Manuel Trajtenberg", institution = "National Bureau of Economic Research", type = "Working Paper", series = "Working Paper Series", number = "1724", year = "1985", month = "October", URL = "http://www.nber.org/papers/w1724", abstract = {The main goal of this paper is to put forward a methodology for the measurement of product innovations using a value metric, i.e., equating the "magnitude" of innovations with the welfare gains that they generate. This research design is applied to the case of Computed Tomography (CT) Scanners, a revolutionary innovation in medical technology. The econometric procedure centers on the estimation of a discrete choice model (the nested multinominal logit), that yeilds the parameters of a utility function defined over the-changing-quality dimensions of the innovative product. The estimated flow of social gains from innovation is used primarily to compute a social rate of return to R&D, to explore the interrelation between innovation and diffusion, and to trace the time profile of benefits and costs, the latter suggesting the possible occurance of "technological cycles".}, }