TY - JOUR AU - Levitt,Steven D. AU - Miles,Thomas J. TI - The Role of Skill Versus Luck in Poker: Evidence from the World Series of Poker JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 17023 PY - 2011 Y2 - May 2011 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w17023 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w17023.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Steven D. Levitt Department of Economics University of Chicago 1126 East 59th Street Chicago, IL 60637 Tel: 773/834-1862 Fax: 773/702-8490 E-Mail: slevitt@midway.uchicago.edu Thomas Miles University of Chicago E-Mail: tmiles@law.uchicago.edu AB - In determining the legality of online poker – a multibillion dollar industry – courts have relied heavily on the issue of whether or not poker is a game of skill. Using newly available data, we analyze that question by examining the performance in the 2010 World Series of Poker of a group of poker players identified as being highly skilled prior to the start of the events. Those players identified a priori as being highly skilled achieved an average return on investment of over 30 percent, compared to a -15 percent for all other players. This large gap in returns is strong evidence in support of the idea that poker is a game of skill. ER -