TY - JOUR AU - Cawley,John AU - Meyerhoefer,Chad TI - The Medical Care Costs of Obesity: An Instrumental Variables Approach JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 16467 PY - 2010 Y2 - October 2010 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w16467 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w16467.pdf N1 - Author contact info: John Cawley 3M24 MVR Hall Department of Policy Analysis and Management and Department of Economics Cornell University Ithaca, NY 14853 Tel: 607/255-0952 Fax: 607/255-4071 E-Mail: jhc38@cornell.edu Chad Meyerhoefer Rauch Business Center Lehigh University 621 Taylor Street Bethlehem, PA 18015 Tel: 610/758-3445 Fax: 610/758-4677 E-Mail: chm308@lehigh.edu AB - This paper is the first to use the method of instrumental variables (IV) to estimate the impact of obesity on medical costs in order to address the endogeneity of weight and to reduce the bias from reporting error in weight. Models are estimated using data from the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey for 2000-2005. The IV model, which exploits genetic variation in weight as a natural experiment, yields estimates of the impact of obesity on medical costs that are considerably higher than the correlations reported in the previous literature. For example, obesity is associated with $676 higher annual medical care costs, but the IV results indicate that obesity raises annual medical costs by $2,826 (in 2005 dollars). The estimated annual cost of treating obesity in the U.S. adult non-institutionalized population is $168.4 billion or 16.5% of national spending on medical care. These results imply that the previous literature has underestimated the medical costs of obesity, resulting in underestimates of the cost effectiveness of anti-obesity interventions and the economic rationale for government intervention to reduce obesity-related externalities. ER -