TY - JOUR AU - Chung,Ji-Woong AU - Sensoy,Berk A. AU - Stern,Lea H. AU - Weisbach,Michael S. TI - Pay for Performance from Future Fund Flows: The Case of Private Equity JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 16369 PY - 2010 Y2 - September 2010 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w16369 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w16369.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Ji-Woong Chung Department of Finance Faculty of Business Administration The Chinese University of Hong Kong The Teaching Building No. 12, Chak Cheung Street Shatin, N.T., Hong Kong E-Mail: jwchung@baf.msmail.cuhk.edu.hk Berk Sensoy Ohio State University 2100 Neil Ave. Columbus, OH 43210 E-Mail: sensoy_4@fisher.osu.edu Lea H. Stern Department of Finance Ohio State University E-Mail: stern_122@fisher.osu.edu Michael Weisbach Department of Finance Fisher College of Business Ohio State University 2100 Neil Ave. Columbus, OH 43210 Tel: 614/292-3264 E-Mail: weisbach.2@osu.edu AB - Lifetime incomes of private equity general partners are affected by their current funds’ performance through both carried interest profit sharing provisions, and also by the effect of the current fund’s performance on general partners’ abilities to raise capital for future funds. We present a learning-based framework for estimating the market-based pay for performance arising from future fundraising. For the typical first-time private equity fund, we estimate that implicit pay for performance from expected future fundraising is approximately the same order of magnitude as the explicit pay for performance general partners receive from carried interest in their current fund, implying that the performance-sensitive component of general partner revenue is about twice as large as commonly discussed. Consistent with the learning framework, we find that implicit pay for performance is stronger when managerial abilities are more scalable and weaker when current performance contains less new information about ability. Specifically, implicit pay for performance is stronger for buyout funds compared to venture capital funds, and declines in the sequence of a partnership’s funds. Our framework can be adapted to estimate implicit pay for performance in other asset management settings in which future fund flows and compensation depend on current performance. ER -