@techreport{NBERw16155, title = "Medicare Part D and the Financial Protection of the Elderly", author = "Gary V. Engelhardt and Jonathan Gruber", institution = "National Bureau of Economic Research", type = "Working Paper", series = "Working Paper Series", number = "16155", year = "2010", month = "July", URL = "http://www.nber.org/papers/w16155", abstract = {We examine the impact of the expansion of public prescription drug insurance coverage from Medicare Part D on the elderly and find evidence of substantial crowd-out. Using detailed data from the 2002-7 waves of the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey (MEPS), we estimate that the extension of Part D benefits resulted in 80% crowd-out of both prescription drug insurance coverage and prescription drug expenditures of those 65 and older. Part D is associated with only modest reductions in out-of-pocket spending. This suggests that the welfare gain from protecting the elderly from out-of-pocket spending risk through Part D has been small.}, }