TY - JOUR AU - Greenwood,Robin AU - Hanson,Samuel TI - Characteristic Timing JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 15948 PY - 2010 Y2 - April 2010 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w15948 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w15948.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Robin Greenwood Harvard Business School Baker Library 267 Soldiers Field Boston, MA 02163 Tel: 617/495-6979 Fax: 617/496-8443 E-Mail: rgreenwood@hbs.edu Samuel Hanson Harvard Business School Baker Library 351 Soldiers Field Boston, MA 02163 Tel: 617/495-6137 E-Mail: shanson@hbs.edu AB - We use differences between the attributes of stock issuers and repurchasers to forecast characteristic-related stock returns. For example, we show that large firms underperform following years when issuing firms are large relative to repurchasing firms. Our approach is useful for forecasting returns to portfolios based on book-to-market (HML), size (SMB), price, distress, payout policy, profitability, and industry. We consider interpretations of these results based on both time-varying risk premia and mispricing. Our results are primarily consistent with the view that firms issue and repurchase shares to exploit time-varying characteristic mispricing. ER -