TY - JOUR AU - Aizenman,Joshua AU - Pasricha,Gurnain Kaur TI - On the ease of overstating the fiscal stimulus in the US, 2008-9 JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 15784 PY - 2010 Y2 - February 2010 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w15784 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w15784.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Joshua Aizenman Department of Economics; E2 1156 High St. University of California, Santa Cruz Santa Cruz, CA 95064 Tel: 831/459-4791 Fax: 831/459-5077 E-Mail: jaizen@ucsc.edu Gurnain Kaur Pasricha Bank of Canada 234 Wellington Street Ottawa, ON K1A 0G9 Canada E-Mail: gpasricha@bankofcanada.ca AB - This note shows that the aggregate fiscal expenditure stimulus in the United States, properly adjusted for the declining fiscal expenditure of the fifty states, was close to zero in 2009. While the Federal government stimulus prevented a net decline in aggregate fiscal expenditure, it did not stimulate the aggregate expenditure above its predicted mean. We discuss the implications of limitations on states' ability to run deficits for the design of fiscal stimulus at the federal level. We devote particular attention to intertemporal moral hazard concerns in a federal fiscal system, and ways to address these concerns. ER -