TY - JOUR AU - Stiglitz,Joseph E. TI - Risk and Global Economic Architecture: Why Full Financial Integration May Be Undesirable JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 15718 PY - 2010 Y2 - February 2010 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w15718 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w15718.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Joseph E. Stiglitz Uris Hall, Columbia University 3022 Broadway, Room 212 New York, NY 10027 Tel: 212/854-0671 Fax: 212/662-8474 E-Mail: jes322@columbia.edu AB - This paper provides a general framework for analyzing the optimal degree and form of financial integration. Full integration is not in general optimal: faced with a choice between two polar regimes, full integration or autarky, autarky may be superior. The intuition is simple: if underlying technologies are not convex, then risk-sharing can lower expected utility. The simplistic models arguing for financial integration typically employed in economics assume convexity; but the world is rife with non-convexities, e.g. associated with bankruptcy. The architecture of the credit market can, for instance, affect the likelihood of a bankruptcy cascade, “contagion,” and systemic risk. ER -