@techreport{NBERw15690, title = "Is the Spurious Regression Problem Spurious?", author = "Bennett T. McCallum", institution = "National Bureau of Economic Research", type = "Working Paper", series = "Working Paper Series", number = "15690", year = "2010", month = "January", URL = "http://www.nber.org/papers/w15690", abstract = {So-called “spurious regression” relationships between random-walk (or strongly autoregressive) variables are generally accompanied by clear signs of severe autocorrelation in their residuals. A conscientious researcher would therefore not end an investigation with such a result, but would likely re-estimate with an autocorrelation correction. Simulations show, for several typical cases, that the test-rejection statistics for the re-estimated relationships are very close to the true values, so do not yield results of the spurious type.}, }