TY - JOUR AU - Hansen,Zeynep K. AU - Libecap,Gary D. AU - Lowe,Scott E. TI - Climate Variability and Water Infrastructure: Historical Experience in the Western United States JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 15558 PY - 2009 Y2 - December 2009 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w15558 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w15558.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Zeynep K. Hansen College of Business and Economics Department of Economics Boise State University 1910 University Drive Boise, ID 83725-1620 Tel: 208/426-3314 Fax: 208/426-2071 E-Mail: zeynephansen@boisestate.edu Gary D. Libecap Bren School of Environmental Science and Management and Economics Department University of California, Santa Barbara Bren Hall 4412 Santa Barbara, CA 93106-5131 Tel: 805-893-8611 Fax: 805-893-7612 E-Mail: glibecap@bren.ucsb.edu Scott Lowe Boise State E-Mail: Scottlowe@boisestate.edu M3 - presented at "Climate Change: Past and Present Conference", May 30-31, 2009 AB - Greater historical perspective is needed to enlighten current debate about future human responses to higher temperatures and increased precipitation variation. We analyze the impact of climatic conditions and variability on agricultural production in five semi-arid western states. We assemble county-level data on dams and other major water infrastructure; agricultural crop mixes and yields; precipitation and temperature; soil quality, and topography. Using this extensive data set, we analyze the impact of water infrastructure investments on crop mix and yields in affected counties relative to similarly-endowed counties that lack such infrastructure. We find that water infrastructure smoothes agricultural crop production and increases the likelihood of a successful harvest, especially during times of severe drought or excessive precipitation. ER -