TY - JOUR AU - Stulz,René M. TI - Credit Default Swaps and the Credit Crisis JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 15384 PY - 2009 Y2 - September 2009 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w15384 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w15384.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Rene M. Stulz The Ohio State University Fisher College of Business 806A Fisher Hall Columbus, OH 43210-1144 Tel: 614/292-1970 Fax: 614/292-2359 E-Mail: stulz_1@cob.osu.edu AB - Many observers have argued that credit default swaps contributed significantly to the credit crisis. Of particular concern to these observers are that credit default swaps trade in the largely unregulated over-the-counter market as bilateral contracts involving counterparty risk and that they facilitate speculation involving negative views of a firm’s financial strength. Some observers have suggested that credit default swaps would not have made the crisis worse had they been traded on exchanges. I conclude that credit default swaps did not cause the dramatic events of the credit crisis, that the over-the-counter credit default swaps market worked well during much of the first year of the credit crisis, and that exchange trading has both advantages and costs compared to over-the-counter trading. Though I argue that eliminating over-the-counter trading of credit default swaps could reduce social welfare, I also recognize that much research is needed to understand better and quantify the social gains and costs of derivatives in general and credit default swaps in particular. ER -