TY - JOUR AU - Jegadeesh,Narasimhan AU - Kräussl,Roman AU - Pollet,Joshua TI - Risk and Expected Returns of Private Equity Investments: Evidence Based on Market Prices JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 15335 PY - 2009 Y2 - September 2009 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w15335 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w15335.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Narasimhan Jegadeesh Goizueta Business School Emory University 1300 Clifton Road Suite 507 Atlanta, GA 30322 Tel: 404/727-4821 E-Mail: narasimhan_jegadeesh@bus.emory.edu Roman Kraussl FEWEB VU University Amsterdam de Boelelaan 1105 1081 HV Amsterdam The Netherlands E-Mail: rkraeussl@feweb.vu.nl Joshua Pollet College of Business University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign 4039 BIF 515 E. Gregory Drive Champaign, IL 61820 Tel: 217-300-1961 E-Mail: pollet@illinois.edu AB - We estimate the risk and expected returns of private equity investments based on the market prices of exchange-traded funds of funds that invest in unlisted private equity funds. Our results indicate that the market expects unlisted private equity funds to earn abnormal returns of approximately 1% per year. We also find that the market expects listed private equity funds to earn zero or marginally negative abnormal returns net of fees. Both listed and unlisted private equity funds have market betas close to one and positive factor loadings on the Fama-French SMB factor. Private equity fund returns are positively related to GDP growth and negatively related to the credit spread. In addition, we find that market returns of exchange traded funds of funds and listed private equity funds predict changes in self-reported book values of unlisted private equity funds. ER -