TY - JOUR AU - Lakdawalla,Darius AU - Yin,Wesley TI - Insurer Bargaining and Negotiated Drug Prices in Medicare Part D JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 15330 PY - 2009 Y2 - September 2009 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w15330 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w15330.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Darius N. Lakdawalla Schaeffer Center for Health Policy and Economics University of Southern California 3335 S. Figueroa St, Unit A Los Angeles, CA 90089-7273 Los Angeles, CA 90 Tel: 213/740-6012 E-Mail: dlakdawa@healthpolicy.usc.edu Wesley Yin Department of Economics Boston University 270 Bay State Rd., Rm 501 Boston, MA 02215 Tel: 617-353-6150 E-Mail: wyin@bu.edu AB - A controversial feature of Medicare Part D is its reliance on private insurers to negotiate drug prices and rebates with retail pharmacies and drug manufacturers. Central to this controversy is whether increases in market power—an undesirable feature in most settings—confer benefits in health insurance markets, where larger buyers may obtain better prices for their members. We test whether insurers that experience larger enrollment increases due to Part D negotiate lower drug prices with pharmacies. Overall, we find that 100,000 additional insureds lead to 2.5-percent lower pharmacy prices negotiated by the insurer, and 5-percent reductions in pharmacy profits earned on prescriptions filled by enrollees of that insurer. Estimated enrollment effects are much larger for drugs with therapeutic substitutes, and virtually zero for branded drugs without therapeutic substitutes. We also present evidence that most insurer savings are, on the margin, passed on as lower premiums. Out-of-sample estimation suggests that modest insurer consolidation would generate significant savings to Medicare, along with premium reductions and enrollment increases. Finally, we find that greater enrollment leads to lower pharmacy prices negotiated by insurers for their non-Part D market—an external benefit to the commercially enrolled associated with administering Part D through private insurers. ER -