TY - JOUR AU - Pedersen,Lasse Heje TI - When Everyone Runs for the Exit JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 15297 PY - 2009 Y2 - August 2009 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w15297 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w15297.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Lasse H. Pedersen NYU Stern Finance 44 West Fourth Street Suite 9-190 New York, NY 10012 Tel: 212/998-0359 Fax: 212/995-4233 E-Mail: lpederse@stern.nyu.edu AB - The dangers of shouting "fire" in a crowded theater are well understood, but the dangers of rushing to the exit in the financial markets are more complex. Yet, the two events share several features, and I analyze why people crowd into theaters and trades, why they run, what determines the risk, whether to return to the theater or trade when the dust settles, and how much to pay for assets (or tickets) in light of this risk. These theoretical considerations shed light on the recent global liquidity crisis and, in particular, the quant event of 2007. ER -