TY - JOUR AU - Krusell,Per AU - Mukoyama,Toshihiko AU - Sahin,Aysegul TI - Labor-Market Matching with Precautionary Savings and Aggregate Fluctuations JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 15282 PY - 2009 Y2 - August 2009 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w15282 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w15282.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Per Krusell Institute for International Economic Studies Stockholm University 106 91 STOCKHOLM SWEDEN E-Mail: per.krusell@iies.su.se Toshihiko Mukoyama Department of Economics University of Virginia P.O. Box 400182 Charlottesville VA 22904 E-Mail: tm5hs@virginia.edu Aysegul Sahin Federal Reserve Bank of New York Research & Statistics Group 33 Liberty Street New York, NY 10045 Tel: 212-720-5145 E-Mail: Aysegul.Sahin@ny.frb.org AB - We analyze a Bewley-Huggett-Aiyagari incomplete-markets model with labor-market frictions. Consumers are subject to idiosyncratic employment shocks against which they cannot insure directly. The labor market has a Diamond-Mortensen-Pissarides structure: firms enter by posting vacancies and match with workers bilaterally, with match probabilities given by an aggregate matching function. Wages are determined through Nash bargaining. We also consider aggregate productivity shocks, and a complete set of contingent claims conditional on this risk. We use the model to evaluate a tax-financed unemployment insurance scheme. Higher insurance is beneficial for consumption smoothing, but because it raises workers' outside option value, it discourages firm entry. We find that the latter effect is more potent for welfare outcomes; we tabulate the effects quantitatively for different kinds of consumers. We also demonstrate that productivity changes in the model---in steady state as well as stochastic ones---generate rather limited unemployment effects, unless workers are close to indifferent between working and not working; thus, recent findings are corroborated in our more general setting. ER -