Causal Relationships between Infant Mortality and Fertility in Developedand Less Developed Countries

Tadashi Yamada

NBER Working Paper No. 1528
Issued in December 1984
NBER Program(s):   HE

This paper is a study of the dynamic relationships between two demographic variables--the infant mortality rate and the fertility rate-- using time series methodology. I believe that I have shown that infant mortality and fertility are not independent but rather are jointly determined. Also, i believe that I have shown that a decline in infant mortality that is due to an increase in per capita real income triggers a subsequent decline in fertility.This dynamic nexus between changes in infant mortality and fertilitylies at the heart of the so-called "demographic transition."

(136 K)

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Published: Yamada, Tadashi. "Causal Relationships between Infant Mortality and Fertility in Developed and Less Developed Countries," Southern Economic Journal, Vol. 52, No. 1, October 1985, pp. 364-370.

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