NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH
NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH

What is the probability your vote will make a difference?

Andrew Gelman, Nate Silver, Aaron Edlin

NBER Working Paper No. 15220
Issued in August 2009

---- Acknowledgements -----

We thank an anonymous reviewer for helpful comments and the National Science Foundation for financial support. The views expressed herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Bureau of Economic Research.

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