TY - JOUR AU - Clementi,Gian Luca AU - Cooley,Thomas F. AU - Giannatale,Sonia Di TI - A Theory of Firm Decline JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 15192 PY - 2009 Y2 - July 2009 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w15192 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w15192.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Gian Luca Clementi Department of Economics Stern School of Business New York University 44 West Fourth Street New York, NY 10012 Tel: 212/998-0268 Fax: 212/995-4218 E-Mail: clem@nyu.edu Thomas F. Cooley Department of Economics Stern School of Business 44 West 4th Street, Room 7-88 New York, NY 10012-1126 Tel: 212/998-0870 Fax: 212/995-4218 E-Mail: tcooley@stern.nyu.edu Sonia Di Giannatale Centro de Investigacion y Docencia Economicas Mexico D.F. Mexico E-Mail: sonia.digiannatale@cide.edu AB - We study the problem of an investor who buys an equity stake in an entrepreneurial venture, under the assumption that the former cannot monitor the latter’s operations. The dynamics implied by the optimal incentive scheme is rich and quite different from that induced by other models of repeated moral hazard. In particular, our framework generates a rationale for firm decline. As young firms accumulate capital, the claims of both investor (outside equity) and entrepreneur (inside equity) increase. At some juncture, however, even as the latter keeps on growing, invested capital and firm value start declining and so does the value of outside equity. The reason is that incentive provision is costlier the wealthier the entrepreneur (the greater is inside equity). In turn, this leads to a decline in the constrained–efficient level of effort and therefore to a drop in the return to investment. ER -