TY - JOUR AU - Donaldson,John B. AU - Gershun,Natalia AU - Giannoni,Marc P. TI - Some Unpleasant General Equilibrium Implications of Executive Incentive Compensation Contracts JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 15165 PY - 2009 Y2 - July 2009 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w15165 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w15165.pdf N1 - Author contact info: John B. Donaldson Columbia Business School 3022 Broadway, Uris Hall New York, NY 10027-6902 Tel: 212/854-3401 E-Mail: jd34@columbia.edu Natalia Gershun Pace University Lubin School of Business 1 Pace Plaza New York, NY 10038. E-Mail: ng65@columbia.edu Marc Giannoni Federal Reserve Bank of New York Macroeconomic & Monetary Studies Function Research and Statistics Group 33 Liberty Street New York, NY 10045-0001 Tel: 212-720-6518 Fax: 212-720-1844 E-Mail: mg2190@columbia.edu AB - We consider a simple variant of the standard real business cycle model in which shareholders hire a self-interested executive to manage the firm on their behalf. Delegation gives rise to a generic conflict of interest mediated by a convex (option-like) compensation contract which is able to align the interests of managers and their shareholders. With such a compensation contract, a given increase in the firm's output generated by an additional unit of physical investment results in a more than proportional increase in the manager's income. We find that incentive contracts of this form can easily result in an indeterminate general equilibrium, with business cycles driven by self-fulfilling fluctuations in the manager's expectations. These expectations are unrelated to fundamentals. Arbitrarily large fluctuations in macroeconomic variables may possibly result. ER -