@techreport{NBERw15136, title = "Investment Tournaments: When Should a Rational Agent Put All Eggs in One Basket?", author = "Michael Schwarz and Sergei Severinov", institution = "National Bureau of Economic Research", type = "Working Paper", series = "Working Paper Series", number = "15136", year = "2009", month = "July", URL = "http://www.nber.org/papers/w15136", abstract = {In this paper we study "investment tournaments," a class of decision problems that involve gradual allocation of investment among several alternatives whose values are subject to exogenous shocks. The decision-maker's payoff is determined by the final values of the alternatives. An important example of career tournaments motivating our research is the career choice problem, since a person choosing a career often starts by investing in learning several professions. We show that in a broad range of cases it is optimal for the decision-maker in each time period to allocate all resources to the most promising alternative. We also show that in tournaments for a promotion the agents would rationally put forth a higher effort in an early stage of the tournament in a bid to capture a larger share of employer's investment, such as mentoring.}, }