TY  - JOUR
AU  - Davig,Troy
AU  - Leeper,Eric M.
TI  - Monetary-Fiscal Policy Interactions and Fiscal Stimulus
JF  - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series
VL  - No. 15133
PY  - 2009
Y2  - July 2009
UR  - http://www.nber.org/papers/w15133
L1  - http://www.nber.org/papers/w15133.pdf
N1  - Author contact info:
Troy Davig
Research Department
Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City
Kansas City, MO 64198
E-Mail: troy.davig@kc.frb.org

Eric M. Leeper
Department of Economics
304 Wylie Hall
Indiana University
Bloomington, IN  47405
Tel: 812/855-9157
Fax: NA
E-Mail: eleeper@indiana.edu
AB  - Increases in government spending trigger substitution effects—both inter- and intra-temporal—and a wealth effect. The ultimate impacts on the economy hinge on current and expected monetary and fiscal policy behavior. Studies that impose active monetary policy and passive fiscal policy typically find that government consumption crowds out private consumption: higher future taxes create a strong negative wealth effect, while the active monetary response increases the real interest rate. This paper estimates Markov-switching policy rules for the United States and finds that monetary and fiscal policies fluctuate between active and passive behavior. When the estimated joint policy process is imposed on a conventional new Keynesian model, government spending generates positive consumption multipliers in some policy regimes and in simulated data in which all policy regimes are realized. The paper reports the model's predictions of the macroeconomic impacts of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act's implied path for government spending under alternative monetary-fiscal policy combinations.
ER  -