TY - JOUR AU - Easterly,William TI - Empirics of Strategic Interdependence: The Case of the Racial Tipping Point JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 15069 PY - 2009 Y2 - June 2009 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w15069 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w15069.pdf N1 - Author contact info: William Easterly New York University Department of Economics 19 W. 4th Street, 6th floor New York NY 10012 Tel: 212/992-8684 Fax: 212/995-4186 E-Mail: william.easterly@nyu.edu AB - The Schelling model of a "tipping point" in racial segregation, in which whites flee a neighborhood once a threshold of nonwhites is reached, is a canonical model of strategic interdependence. The idea of "tipping" explaining segregation is widely accepted in the academic literature and popular media. I use census tract data for metropolitan areas of the US from 1970 to 2000 to test the predictions of the Schelling model and find that this particular model of strategic interaction largely fails the tests. There is more "white flight" out of neighborhoods with a high initial share of whites than out of more racially mixed neighborhoods ER -