TY - JOUR AU - Karabay,Bilgehan AU - McLaren,John TI - Trade, Offshoring, and the Invisible Handshake JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 15048 PY - 2009 Y2 - June 2009 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w15048 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w15048.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Bilgehan Karabay Department of Economics University of Auckland Owen G. Glenn Building 12 Grafton Road Auckland 1010 New Zealand Tel: +64-9-9237193 Fax: +64-9-3737427 E-Mail: bilgehan.karabay@gmail.com John McLaren Department of Economics University of Virginia P.O. Box 400182 Charlottesville, VA 22904-4182 Tel: 434/924-3994 Fax: 434/982-2904 E-Mail: jmclaren@virginia.edu AB - We study the effect of globalization on the volatility of wages and worker welfare in a model in which risk is allocated through long-run employment relationships (the 'invisible handshake'). Globalization can take two forms: International integration of commodity markets (i.e., free trade) and international integration of factor markets (i.e., offshoring). In a two-country, two-good, two-factor model we show that free trade and offshoring have opposite effects on rich-country workers. Free trade hurts rich-country workers, while reducing the volatility of their wages; by contrast, offshoring benefits them, while raising the volatility of their wages. We thus formalize, but also sharply circumscribe, a common critique of globalization. ER -