TY - JOUR AU - Cragg,Michael I. AU - Kahn,Matthew E. TI - Carbon Geography: The Political Economy of Congressional Support for Legislation Intended to Mitigate Greenhouse Gas Production JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 14963 PY - 2009 Y2 - May 2009 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w14963 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w14963.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Michael Cragg The Brattle Group 44 Brattle Street Cambridge, MA 02138 E-Mail: michael.cragg@brattle.com Matthew E. Kahn UCLA Institute of the Environment Department of Economics Department of Public Policy Box 951496 La Kretz Hall, Suite 300 Los Angeles, CA 90095-1496 Tel: 310/794-4904 Fax: 310/825-9663 E-Mail: mkahn@ioe.ucla.edu AB - Stringent regulation for mitigating greenhouse gas emissions will impose different costs across geographical regions. Low-carbon, environmentalist states, such as California, would bear less of the incidence of such regulation than high-carbon Midwestern states. Such anticipated costs are likely to influence Congressional voting patterns. This paper uses several geographical data sets to document that conservative, poor areas have higher per-capita carbon emissions than liberal, richer areas. Representatives from such areas are shown to have much lower probabilities of voting in favor of anti-carbon legislation. In the 111th Congress, the Energy and Commerce Committee consists of members who represent high carbon districts. These geographical facts suggest that the Obama Administration and the Waxman Committee will face distributional challenges in building a majority voting coalition in favor of internalizing the carbon externality. ER -