TY - JOUR AU - Ashenfelter,Orley C. AU - Hosken,Daniel AU - Weinberg,Matthew TI - Generating Evidence to Guide Merger Enforcement JF - National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper Series VL - No. 14798 PY - 2009 Y2 - March 2009 UR - http://www.nber.org/papers/w14798 L1 - http://www.nber.org/papers/w14798.pdf N1 - Author contact info: Orley C. Ashenfelter Industrial Relations Section Firestone Library Princeton University Princeton, NJ 08544 Tel: 609/258-4040 Fax: 609/258-2907 E-Mail: c6789@princeton.edu Daniel Hosken Federal Trade Commission 600 Pennsylvania Avenue, NW Washington, DC 20580 E-Mail: dhosken@ftc.gov Matthew Weinberg Federal Trade Commission Mail Stop 4264 600 Pennsylvania Avenue, NW Washington , DC 20580 E-Mail: mweinberg@ftc.gov AB - The challenge of effective merger enforcement is tremendous. U.S. antitrust agencies must, by statute, quickly forecast the competitive effects of mergers that occur in virtually every sector of the economy to determine if mergers can proceed. Surprisingly, given the complexity of the regulators task, there is remarkably little empirical evidence on the effects of mergers to guide regulators. This paper describes the necessity of retrospective analysis of past mergers in building an empirical basis for antitrust enforcement, and provides guidance on the key measurement issues researchers confront in estimating the price effects of mergers. We also describe how evidence from merger retrospectives can be used to evaluate the economic models used to predict the competitive effects of mergers. ER -